Live 2020 Election Turnout Tracker

Welcome to the Sixty-Six Wards Turnout Tracker! Voters across Philadelphia are sharing their turnout to support citizen science.

First, vote! Then, share your division and Voter Number at http://bit.ly/sixtysixturnout.

Live Results

As of 11:30 AM, 177 voters in 25 wards have shared their voter number. I estimate that 203,370 people have voted in person across the city (95% Confidence Interval: 150,431 - 232,210). In addition, 346,196 mail-in ballots have already been returned, and 89,200 are still outstanding.

Maps

I use historic correlations among divisions’ turnout to estimate turnout in the divisions with no data yet. I simultaneously estimate (1) the overall city-wide turnout, (2) divisions’ over-/under-performance, and (3) the city-wide time pattern of voting. See the Methodology.

Total Turnout (In-Person + Mail-In)

In-Person Turnout

Mail-In Requests

Mail-In Ballots Returned

Raw Responses (for debugging)

Submissions

Data Tables

For those of you who like tables with numbers.

Estimated Turnout by Ward
ward time_of_day turnout turnout_p025 turnout_p975
01 11:30 AM 2777 c(2.5% = 2158) c(97.5% = 3169)
02 11:30 AM 4559 c(2.5% = 3496) c(97.5% = 5360)
03 11:30 AM 2614 c(2.5% = 1950) c(97.5% = 3006)
04 11:30 AM 2630 c(2.5% = 1942) c(97.5% = 3143)
05 11:30 AM 6713 c(2.5% = 5028) c(97.5% = 7392)
06 11:30 AM 1771 c(2.5% = 1362) c(97.5% = 1981)
07 11:30 AM 1801 c(2.5% = 914) c(97.5% = 2493)
08 11:30 AM 6212 c(2.5% = 4697) c(97.5% = 7013)
09 11:30 AM 2962 c(2.5% = 2392) c(97.5% = 3410)
10 11:30 AM 3802 c(2.5% = 3049) c(97.5% = 4349)
11 11:30 AM 1674 c(2.5% = 1213) c(97.5% = 2033)
12 11:30 AM 2878 c(2.5% = 2160) c(97.5% = 3349)
13 11:30 AM 2595 c(2.5% = 1921) c(97.5% = 3094)
14 11:30 AM 1138 c(2.5% = 887) c(97.5% = 1269)
15 11:30 AM 3245 c(2.5% = 2602) c(97.5% = 3642)
16 11:30 AM 1405 c(2.5% = 1003) c(97.5% = 1735)
17 11:30 AM 3177 c(2.5% = 2349) c(97.5% = 3748)
18 11:30 AM 2749 c(2.5% = 1990) c(97.5% = 3054)
19 11:30 AM 1336 c(2.5% = 792) c(97.5% = 1779)
20 11:30 AM 1313 c(2.5% = 870) c(97.5% = 1576)
21 11:30 AM 7326 c(2.5% = 5470) c(97.5% = 8076)
22 11:30 AM 3998 c(2.5% = 3224) c(97.5% = 4475)
23 11:30 AM 2420 c(2.5% = 1685) c(97.5% = 2865)
24 11:30 AM 2055 c(2.5% = 1434) c(97.5% = 2359)
25 11:30 AM 1987 c(2.5% = 1277) c(97.5% = 2355)
26 11:30 AM 2803 c(2.5% = 2014) c(97.5% = 3068)
27 11:30 AM 3696 c(2.5% = 2238) c(97.5% = 4166)
28 11:30 AM 1495 c(2.5% = 1064) c(97.5% = 1849)
29 11:30 AM 1484 c(2.5% = 1148) c(97.5% = 1675)
30 11:30 AM 2942 c(2.5% = 2391) c(97.5% = 3390)
31 11:30 AM 2456 c(2.5% = 1743) c(97.5% = 2753)
32 11:30 AM 2489 c(2.5% = 1787) c(97.5% = 3047)
33 11:30 AM 2099 c(2.5% = 1154) c(97.5% = 2753)
34 11:30 AM 5427 c(2.5% = 4205) c(97.5% = 6077)
35 11:30 AM 3699 c(2.5% = 2483) c(97.5% = 4382)
36 11:30 AM 4416 c(2.5% = 3450) c(97.5% = 4965)
37 11:30 AM 1603 c(2.5% = 1128) c(97.5% = 1994)
38 11:30 AM 2705 c(2.5% = 2079) c(97.5% = 3049)
39 11:30 AM 5349 c(2.5% = 3766) c(97.5% = 6198)
40 11:30 AM 5681 c(2.5% = 4077) c(97.5% = 6514)
41 11:30 AM 2209 c(2.5% = 1383) c(97.5% = 2747)
42 11:30 AM 2878 c(2.5% = 1894) c(97.5% = 3548)
43 11:30 AM 2251 c(2.5% = 1390) c(97.5% = 2912)
44 11:30 AM 1769 c(2.5% = 1309) c(97.5% = 2111)
45 11:30 AM 2505 c(2.5% = 1645) c(97.5% = 2939)
46 11:30 AM 3316 c(2.5% = 2735) c(97.5% = 3753)
47 11:30 AM 1073 c(2.5% = 785) c(97.5% = 1250)
48 11:30 AM 2528 c(2.5% = 1813) c(97.5% = 2913)
49 11:30 AM 3220 c(2.5% = 2397) c(97.5% = 3761)
50 11:30 AM 4414 c(2.5% = 3558) c(97.5% = 4911)
51 11:30 AM 2859 c(2.5% = 2160) c(97.5% = 3387)
52 11:30 AM 3494 c(2.5% = 2751) c(97.5% = 3902)
53 11:30 AM 2509 c(2.5% = 1682) c(97.5% = 3009)
54 11:30 AM 1817 c(2.5% = 1112) c(97.5% = 2312)
55 11:30 AM 2877 c(2.5% = 1799) c(97.5% = 3608)
56 11:30 AM 4181 c(2.5% = 2721) c(97.5% = 4930)
57 11:30 AM 3628 c(2.5% = 2489) c(97.5% = 4126)
58 11:30 AM 6087 c(2.5% = 4080) c(97.5% = 6940)
59 11:30 AM 3063 c(2.5% = 2336) c(97.5% = 3455)
60 11:30 AM 2437 c(2.5% = 1851) c(97.5% = 2798)
61 11:30 AM 3783 c(2.5% = 2741) c(97.5% = 4273)
62 11:30 AM 2712 c(2.5% = 1722) c(97.5% = 3409)
63 11:30 AM 3440 c(2.5% = 2413) c(97.5% = 3949)
64 11:30 AM 1955 c(2.5% = 1271) c(97.5% = 2381)
65 11:30 AM 2835 c(2.5% = 1921) c(97.5% = 3269)
66 11:30 AM 6048 c(2.5% = 4207) c(97.5% = 6867)

Raw Submissions

Submitted Data
Time of Vote Precinct Voter Number
7:10 AM 5107 2
7:41 AM 0537 24
7:42 AM 0501 14
7:43 AM 0828 33
7:03 AM 2714 2
7:40 AM 1508 38
7:48 AM 1503 38
7:48 AM 1503 38
7:25 AM 0214 16
7:56 AM 3636 33
7:13 AM 0218 9
8:07 AM 4603 27
8:16 AM 0218 60
8:18 AM 0222 68
8:10 AM 1810 36
8:20 AM 3635 57
8:30 AM 3110 55
8:32 AM 0532 69
8:30 AM 2707 45
8:32 AM 2702 48
8:15 AM 3901 52
8:15 AM 3640 64
8:38 AM 3638 55
8:38 AM 3637 31
8:42 AM 0525 64
8:40 AM 0501 36
7:30 AM 0202 28
8:40 AM 0537 56
8:12 AM 4616 41
8:35 AM 3909 65
8:43 AM 0517 69
8:49 AM 0834 73
8:49 AM 0206 69
8:50 AM 0828 77
8:07 AM 0801 40
7:30 AM 3640 31
7:30 AM 3104 29
8:50 AM 0213 25
8:40 AM 2717 56
8:45 AM 2101 47
8:25 AM 3945 52
7:48 AM 1503 38
7:48 AM 1503 38
9:02 AM 1503 92
7:15 AM 0902 12
8:40 AM 2717 56
7:01 AM 0807 13
9:09 AM 4701 73
8:50 AM 0213 25
9:10 AM 1514 81
7:55 AM 1517 30
9:00 AM 3914 40
8:00 AM 5702 60
8:30 AM 2105 91
8:30 AM 2105 91
9:15 AM 2714 51
8:15 AM 2605 56
9:20 AM 3637 100
9:20 AM 3638 79
8:30 AM 0521 92
9:20 AM 0532 112
9:15 AM 1802 73
9:24 AM 2911 62
9:03 AM 0229 95
9:23 AM 0812 138
8:50 AM 0828 77
9:00 AM 3107 100
9:15 AM 3639 86
9:15 AM 0120 76
9:30 AM 0308 109
9:30 AM 0807 98
9:25 AM 3610 84
9:34 AM 0818 50
9:34 AM 0818 50
9:35 AM 0817 107
8:40 AM 1514 68
8:00 AM 0106 69
8:40 AM 1514 68
9:38 AM 6008 49
9:30 AM 3636 108
7:15 AM 0114 9
9:46 AM 3111 104
9:47 AM 0204 72
9:50 AM 0505 92
9:55 AM 0528 148
9:45 AM 0224 110
9:45 AM 0224 109
7:45 AM 0517 35
9:58 AM 3636 120
9:49 AM 2212 74
8:00 AM 0817 100
10:05 AM 1503 129
10:02 AM 0517 135
8:15 AM 3516 56
7:20 AM 2217 17
8:15 AM 3516 56
7:40 AM 2105 45
10:00 AM 0110 97
9:40 AM 0222 97
10:00 AM 2622 82
10:03 AM 3006 101
8:15 AM 2619 77
10:02 AM 0835 100
10:18 AM 3104 156
10:20 AM 4701 114
7:45 AM 0516 41
10:18 AM 0515 420
8:28 AM 0516 70
9:50 AM 0505 92
10:15 AM 3641 78
9:50 AM 0505 92
10:29 AM 0509 188
10:30 AM 1513 95
8:00 AM 2113 13
10:39 AM 0537 108
10:40 AM 0501 75
10:15 AM 3115 144
10:10 AM 4603 60
9:45 AM 1517 101
10:40 AM 0206 115
10:42 AM 0505 117
10:44 AM 0834 93
9:30 AM 0807 98
10:45 AM 0807 115
10:45 AM 1503 147
10:45 AM 0309 129
10:40 AM 3629 76
10:52 AM 1717 90
10:52 AM 1717 90
7:30 AM 1802 38
10:50 AM 2706 156
10:45 AM 2713 96
10:02 AM 4622 131
11:00 AM 2707 86
11:11 AM 3103 151
11:10 AM 3113 101
8:30 AM 0201 103
8:40 AM 0824 57
11:07 AM 6008 67
8:00 AM 4601 37
11:00 AM 2208 91
9:00 AM 0822 1
11:00 AM 2101 131
10:00 AM 0101 79
10:00 AM 0102 90
10:00 AM 0103 136
10:00 AM 0104 92
10:00 AM 0105 45
10:00 AM 0106 93
10:00 AM 0107 40
10:00 AM 0108 89
10:00 AM 0109 83
10:00 AM 0110 104
10:00 AM 0111 86
10:00 AM 0112 69
10:00 AM 0113 122
10:00 AM 0114 85
10:00 AM 0115 139
10:00 AM 0116 68
10:00 AM 0117 79
10:00 AM 0118 121
10:00 AM 0119 75
10:00 AM 0120 106
10:00 AM 0121 130
11:17 AM 3943 119
11:00 AM 1811 150
11:18 AM 4701 135
11:00 AM 3103 5
11:15 AM 0526 175
11:00 AM 5904 142
8:30 AM 0504 105
11:22 AM 1503 156
9:02 AM 0120 63
8:10 AM 0819 60
11:29 AM 0213 47
9:15 AM 0904 69
11:30 AM 3914 140

Download the csvs: - Raw Submissions - Division Predictions