Live 2020 Election Turnout Tracker

Welcome to the Sixty-Six Wards Turnout Tracker! Voters across Philadelphia are sharing their turnout to support citizen science.

First, vote! Then, share your division and Voter Number at http://bit.ly/sixtysixturnout.

Live Results

As of 11:30 AM, 177 voters in 25 wards have shared their voter number. I estimate that 203,370 people have voted in person across the city (95% Confidence Interval: 150,431 - 232,210). In addition, 346,196 mail-in ballots have already been returned, and 89,200 are still outstanding.

Maps

I use historic correlations among divisions’ turnout to estimate turnout in the divisions with no data yet. I simultaneously estimate (1) the overall city-wide turnout, (2) divisions’ over-/under-performance, and (3) the city-wide time pattern of voting. See the Methodology.

Total Turnout (In-Person + Mail-In)

In-Person Turnout

Mail-In Requests

Mail-In Ballots Returned

Raw Responses (for debugging)

Submissions

Data Tables

For those of you who like tables with numbers.

Estimated Turnout by Ward

ward	time_of_day	turnout	turnout_p025	turnout_p975
01	11:30 AM	2777	c(2.5% = 2158)	c(97.5% = 3169)
02	11:30 AM	4559	c(2.5% = 3496)	c(97.5% = 5360)
03	11:30 AM	2614	c(2.5% = 1950)	c(97.5% = 3006)
04	11:30 AM	2630	c(2.5% = 1942)	c(97.5% = 3143)
05	11:30 AM	6713	c(2.5% = 5028)	c(97.5% = 7392)
06	11:30 AM	1771	c(2.5% = 1362)	c(97.5% = 1981)
07	11:30 AM	1801	c(2.5% = 914)	c(97.5% = 2493)
08	11:30 AM	6212	c(2.5% = 4697)	c(97.5% = 7013)
09	11:30 AM	2962	c(2.5% = 2392)	c(97.5% = 3410)
10	11:30 AM	3802	c(2.5% = 3049)	c(97.5% = 4349)
11	11:30 AM	1674	c(2.5% = 1213)	c(97.5% = 2033)
12	11:30 AM	2878	c(2.5% = 2160)	c(97.5% = 3349)
13	11:30 AM	2595	c(2.5% = 1921)	c(97.5% = 3094)
14	11:30 AM	1138	c(2.5% = 887)	c(97.5% = 1269)
15	11:30 AM	3245	c(2.5% = 2602)	c(97.5% = 3642)
16	11:30 AM	1405	c(2.5% = 1003)	c(97.5% = 1735)
17	11:30 AM	3177	c(2.5% = 2349)	c(97.5% = 3748)
18	11:30 AM	2749	c(2.5% = 1990)	c(97.5% = 3054)
19	11:30 AM	1336	c(2.5% = 792)	c(97.5% = 1779)
20	11:30 AM	1313	c(2.5% = 870)	c(97.5% = 1576)
21	11:30 AM	7326	c(2.5% = 5470)	c(97.5% = 8076)
22	11:30 AM	3998	c(2.5% = 3224)	c(97.5% = 4475)
23	11:30 AM	2420	c(2.5% = 1685)	c(97.5% = 2865)
24	11:30 AM	2055	c(2.5% = 1434)	c(97.5% = 2359)
25	11:30 AM	1987	c(2.5% = 1277)	c(97.5% = 2355)
26	11:30 AM	2803	c(2.5% = 2014)	c(97.5% = 3068)
27	11:30 AM	3696	c(2.5% = 2238)	c(97.5% = 4166)
28	11:30 AM	1495	c(2.5% = 1064)	c(97.5% = 1849)
29	11:30 AM	1484	c(2.5% = 1148)	c(97.5% = 1675)
30	11:30 AM	2942	c(2.5% = 2391)	c(97.5% = 3390)
31	11:30 AM	2456	c(2.5% = 1743)	c(97.5% = 2753)
32	11:30 AM	2489	c(2.5% = 1787)	c(97.5% = 3047)
33	11:30 AM	2099	c(2.5% = 1154)	c(97.5% = 2753)
34	11:30 AM	5427	c(2.5% = 4205)	c(97.5% = 6077)
35	11:30 AM	3699	c(2.5% = 2483)	c(97.5% = 4382)
36	11:30 AM	4416	c(2.5% = 3450)	c(97.5% = 4965)
37	11:30 AM	1603	c(2.5% = 1128)	c(97.5% = 1994)
38	11:30 AM	2705	c(2.5% = 2079)	c(97.5% = 3049)
39	11:30 AM	5349	c(2.5% = 3766)	c(97.5% = 6198)
40	11:30 AM	5681	c(2.5% = 4077)	c(97.5% = 6514)
41	11:30 AM	2209	c(2.5% = 1383)	c(97.5% = 2747)
42	11:30 AM	2878	c(2.5% = 1894)	c(97.5% = 3548)
43	11:30 AM	2251	c(2.5% = 1390)	c(97.5% = 2912)
44	11:30 AM	1769	c(2.5% = 1309)	c(97.5% = 2111)
45	11:30 AM	2505	c(2.5% = 1645)	c(97.5% = 2939)
46	11:30 AM	3316	c(2.5% = 2735)	c(97.5% = 3753)
47	11:30 AM	1073	c(2.5% = 785)	c(97.5% = 1250)
48	11:30 AM	2528	c(2.5% = 1813)	c(97.5% = 2913)
49	11:30 AM	3220	c(2.5% = 2397)	c(97.5% = 3761)
50	11:30 AM	4414	c(2.5% = 3558)	c(97.5% = 4911)
51	11:30 AM	2859	c(2.5% = 2160)	c(97.5% = 3387)
52	11:30 AM	3494	c(2.5% = 2751)	c(97.5% = 3902)
53	11:30 AM	2509	c(2.5% = 1682)	c(97.5% = 3009)
54	11:30 AM	1817	c(2.5% = 1112)	c(97.5% = 2312)
55	11:30 AM	2877	c(2.5% = 1799)	c(97.5% = 3608)
56	11:30 AM	4181	c(2.5% = 2721)	c(97.5% = 4930)
57	11:30 AM	3628	c(2.5% = 2489)	c(97.5% = 4126)
58	11:30 AM	6087	c(2.5% = 4080)	c(97.5% = 6940)
59	11:30 AM	3063	c(2.5% = 2336)	c(97.5% = 3455)
60	11:30 AM	2437	c(2.5% = 1851)	c(97.5% = 2798)
61	11:30 AM	3783	c(2.5% = 2741)	c(97.5% = 4273)
62	11:30 AM	2712	c(2.5% = 1722)	c(97.5% = 3409)
63	11:30 AM	3440	c(2.5% = 2413)	c(97.5% = 3949)
64	11:30 AM	1955	c(2.5% = 1271)	c(97.5% = 2381)
65	11:30 AM	2835	c(2.5% = 1921)	c(97.5% = 3269)
66	11:30 AM	6048	c(2.5% = 4207)	c(97.5% = 6867)

Raw Submissions

Submitted Data

Time of Vote	Precinct	Voter Number
7:10 AM	5107	2
7:41 AM	0537	24
7:42 AM	0501	14
7:43 AM	0828	33
7:03 AM	2714	2
7:40 AM	1508	38
7:48 AM	1503	38
7:48 AM	1503	38
7:25 AM	0214	16
7:56 AM	3636	33
7:13 AM	0218	9
8:07 AM	4603	27
8:16 AM	0218	60
8:18 AM	0222	68
8:10 AM	1810	36
8:20 AM	3635	57
8:30 AM	3110	55
8:32 AM	0532	69
8:30 AM	2707	45
8:32 AM	2702	48
8:15 AM	3901	52
8:15 AM	3640	64
8:38 AM	3638	55
8:38 AM	3637	31
8:42 AM	0525	64
8:40 AM	0501	36
7:30 AM	0202	28
8:40 AM	0537	56
8:12 AM	4616	41
8:35 AM	3909	65
8:43 AM	0517	69
8:49 AM	0834	73
8:49 AM	0206	69
8:50 AM	0828	77
8:07 AM	0801	40
7:30 AM	3640	31
7:30 AM	3104	29
8:50 AM	0213	25
8:40 AM	2717	56
8:45 AM	2101	47
8:25 AM	3945	52
7:48 AM	1503	38
7:48 AM	1503	38
9:02 AM	1503	92
7:15 AM	0902	12
8:40 AM	2717	56
7:01 AM	0807	13
9:09 AM	4701	73
8:50 AM	0213	25
9:10 AM	1514	81
7:55 AM	1517	30
9:00 AM	3914	40
8:00 AM	5702	60
8:30 AM	2105	91
8:30 AM	2105	91
9:15 AM	2714	51
8:15 AM	2605	56
9:20 AM	3637	100
9:20 AM	3638	79
8:30 AM	0521	92
9:20 AM	0532	112
9:15 AM	1802	73
9:24 AM	2911	62
9:03 AM	0229	95
9:23 AM	0812	138
8:50 AM	0828	77
9:00 AM	3107	100
9:15 AM	3639	86
9:15 AM	0120	76
9:30 AM	0308	109
9:30 AM	0807	98
9:25 AM	3610	84
9:34 AM	0818	50
9:34 AM	0818	50
9:35 AM	0817	107
8:40 AM	1514	68
8:00 AM	0106	69
8:40 AM	1514	68
9:38 AM	6008	49
9:30 AM	3636	108
7:15 AM	0114	9
9:46 AM	3111	104
9:47 AM	0204	72
9:50 AM	0505	92
9:55 AM	0528	148
9:45 AM	0224	110
9:45 AM	0224	109
7:45 AM	0517	35
9:58 AM	3636	120
9:49 AM	2212	74
8:00 AM	0817	100
10:05 AM	1503	129
10:02 AM	0517	135
8:15 AM	3516	56
7:20 AM	2217	17
8:15 AM	3516	56
7:40 AM	2105	45
10:00 AM	0110	97
9:40 AM	0222	97
10:00 AM	2622	82
10:03 AM	3006	101
8:15 AM	2619	77
10:02 AM	0835	100
10:18 AM	3104	156
10:20 AM	4701	114
7:45 AM	0516	41
10:18 AM	0515	420
8:28 AM	0516	70
9:50 AM	0505	92
10:15 AM	3641	78
9:50 AM	0505	92
10:29 AM	0509	188
10:30 AM	1513	95
8:00 AM	2113	13
10:39 AM	0537	108
10:40 AM	0501	75
10:15 AM	3115	144
10:10 AM	4603	60
9:45 AM	1517	101
10:40 AM	0206	115
10:42 AM	0505	117
10:44 AM	0834	93
9:30 AM	0807	98
10:45 AM	0807	115
10:45 AM	1503	147
10:45 AM	0309	129
10:40 AM	3629	76
10:52 AM	1717	90
10:52 AM	1717	90
7:30 AM	1802	38
10:50 AM	2706	156
10:45 AM	2713	96
10:02 AM	4622	131
11:00 AM	2707	86
11:11 AM	3103	151
11:10 AM	3113	101
8:30 AM	0201	103
8:40 AM	0824	57
11:07 AM	6008	67
8:00 AM	4601	37
11:00 AM	2208	91
9:00 AM	0822	1
11:00 AM	2101	131
10:00 AM	0101	79
10:00 AM	0102	90
10:00 AM	0103	136
10:00 AM	0104	92
10:00 AM	0105	45
10:00 AM	0106	93
10:00 AM	0107	40
10:00 AM	0108	89
10:00 AM	0109	83
10:00 AM	0110	104
10:00 AM	0111	86
10:00 AM	0112	69
10:00 AM	0113	122
10:00 AM	0114	85
10:00 AM	0115	139
10:00 AM	0116	68
10:00 AM	0117	79
10:00 AM	0118	121
10:00 AM	0119	75
10:00 AM	0120	106
10:00 AM	0121	130
11:17 AM	3943	119
11:00 AM	1811	150
11:18 AM	4701	135
11:00 AM	3103	5
11:15 AM	0526	175
11:00 AM	5904	142
8:30 AM	0504	105
11:22 AM	1503	156
9:02 AM	0120	63
8:10 AM	0819	60
11:29 AM	0213	47
9:15 AM	0904	69
11:30 AM	3914	140

Download the csvs: - Raw Submissions - Division Predictions