Welcome to the Sixty-Six Wards Turnout Tracker! Voters across Philadelphia are sharing their turnout to support citizen science.
First, vote! Then, share your division and Voter Number at http://bit.ly/sixtysixturnout.
As of 11:30 AM, 177 voters in 25 wards have shared their voter number. I estimate that 203,370 people have voted in person across the city (95% Confidence Interval: 150,431 - 232,210). In addition, 346,196 mail-in ballots have already been returned, and 89,200 are still outstanding.
I use historic correlations among divisions’ turnout to estimate turnout in the divisions with no data yet. I simultaneously estimate (1) the overall city-wide turnout, (2) divisions’ over-/under-performance, and (3) the city-wide time pattern of voting. See the Methodology.
For those of you who like tables with numbers.
| ward | time_of_day | turnout | turnout_p025 | turnout_p975 |
| 01 | 11:30 AM | 2777 |
c(2.5% = 2158)
|
c(97.5% = 3169)
|
| 02 | 11:30 AM | 4559 |
c(2.5% = 3496)
|
c(97.5% = 5360)
|
| 03 | 11:30 AM | 2614 |
c(2.5% = 1950)
|
c(97.5% = 3006)
|
| 04 | 11:30 AM | 2630 |
c(2.5% = 1942)
|
c(97.5% = 3143)
|
| 05 | 11:30 AM | 6713 |
c(2.5% = 5028)
|
c(97.5% = 7392)
|
| 06 | 11:30 AM | 1771 |
c(2.5% = 1362)
|
c(97.5% = 1981)
|
| 07 | 11:30 AM | 1801 |
c(2.5% = 914)
|
c(97.5% = 2493)
|
| 08 | 11:30 AM | 6212 |
c(2.5% = 4697)
|
c(97.5% = 7013)
|
| 09 | 11:30 AM | 2962 |
c(2.5% = 2392)
|
c(97.5% = 3410)
|
| 10 | 11:30 AM | 3802 |
c(2.5% = 3049)
|
c(97.5% = 4349)
|
| 11 | 11:30 AM | 1674 |
c(2.5% = 1213)
|
c(97.5% = 2033)
|
| 12 | 11:30 AM | 2878 |
c(2.5% = 2160)
|
c(97.5% = 3349)
|
| 13 | 11:30 AM | 2595 |
c(2.5% = 1921)
|
c(97.5% = 3094)
|
| 14 | 11:30 AM | 1138 |
c(2.5% = 887)
|
c(97.5% = 1269)
|
| 15 | 11:30 AM | 3245 |
c(2.5% = 2602)
|
c(97.5% = 3642)
|
| 16 | 11:30 AM | 1405 |
c(2.5% = 1003)
|
c(97.5% = 1735)
|
| 17 | 11:30 AM | 3177 |
c(2.5% = 2349)
|
c(97.5% = 3748)
|
| 18 | 11:30 AM | 2749 |
c(2.5% = 1990)
|
c(97.5% = 3054)
|
| 19 | 11:30 AM | 1336 |
c(2.5% = 792)
|
c(97.5% = 1779)
|
| 20 | 11:30 AM | 1313 |
c(2.5% = 870)
|
c(97.5% = 1576)
|
| 21 | 11:30 AM | 7326 |
c(2.5% = 5470)
|
c(97.5% = 8076)
|
| 22 | 11:30 AM | 3998 |
c(2.5% = 3224)
|
c(97.5% = 4475)
|
| 23 | 11:30 AM | 2420 |
c(2.5% = 1685)
|
c(97.5% = 2865)
|
| 24 | 11:30 AM | 2055 |
c(2.5% = 1434)
|
c(97.5% = 2359)
|
| 25 | 11:30 AM | 1987 |
c(2.5% = 1277)
|
c(97.5% = 2355)
|
| 26 | 11:30 AM | 2803 |
c(2.5% = 2014)
|
c(97.5% = 3068)
|
| 27 | 11:30 AM | 3696 |
c(2.5% = 2238)
|
c(97.5% = 4166)
|
| 28 | 11:30 AM | 1495 |
c(2.5% = 1064)
|
c(97.5% = 1849)
|
| 29 | 11:30 AM | 1484 |
c(2.5% = 1148)
|
c(97.5% = 1675)
|
| 30 | 11:30 AM | 2942 |
c(2.5% = 2391)
|
c(97.5% = 3390)
|
| 31 | 11:30 AM | 2456 |
c(2.5% = 1743)
|
c(97.5% = 2753)
|
| 32 | 11:30 AM | 2489 |
c(2.5% = 1787)
|
c(97.5% = 3047)
|
| 33 | 11:30 AM | 2099 |
c(2.5% = 1154)
|
c(97.5% = 2753)
|
| 34 | 11:30 AM | 5427 |
c(2.5% = 4205)
|
c(97.5% = 6077)
|
| 35 | 11:30 AM | 3699 |
c(2.5% = 2483)
|
c(97.5% = 4382)
|
| 36 | 11:30 AM | 4416 |
c(2.5% = 3450)
|
c(97.5% = 4965)
|
| 37 | 11:30 AM | 1603 |
c(2.5% = 1128)
|
c(97.5% = 1994)
|
| 38 | 11:30 AM | 2705 |
c(2.5% = 2079)
|
c(97.5% = 3049)
|
| 39 | 11:30 AM | 5349 |
c(2.5% = 3766)
|
c(97.5% = 6198)
|
| 40 | 11:30 AM | 5681 |
c(2.5% = 4077)
|
c(97.5% = 6514)
|
| 41 | 11:30 AM | 2209 |
c(2.5% = 1383)
|
c(97.5% = 2747)
|
| 42 | 11:30 AM | 2878 |
c(2.5% = 1894)
|
c(97.5% = 3548)
|
| 43 | 11:30 AM | 2251 |
c(2.5% = 1390)
|
c(97.5% = 2912)
|
| 44 | 11:30 AM | 1769 |
c(2.5% = 1309)
|
c(97.5% = 2111)
|
| 45 | 11:30 AM | 2505 |
c(2.5% = 1645)
|
c(97.5% = 2939)
|
| 46 | 11:30 AM | 3316 |
c(2.5% = 2735)
|
c(97.5% = 3753)
|
| 47 | 11:30 AM | 1073 |
c(2.5% = 785)
|
c(97.5% = 1250)
|
| 48 | 11:30 AM | 2528 |
c(2.5% = 1813)
|
c(97.5% = 2913)
|
| 49 | 11:30 AM | 3220 |
c(2.5% = 2397)
|
c(97.5% = 3761)
|
| 50 | 11:30 AM | 4414 |
c(2.5% = 3558)
|
c(97.5% = 4911)
|
| 51 | 11:30 AM | 2859 |
c(2.5% = 2160)
|
c(97.5% = 3387)
|
| 52 | 11:30 AM | 3494 |
c(2.5% = 2751)
|
c(97.5% = 3902)
|
| 53 | 11:30 AM | 2509 |
c(2.5% = 1682)
|
c(97.5% = 3009)
|
| 54 | 11:30 AM | 1817 |
c(2.5% = 1112)
|
c(97.5% = 2312)
|
| 55 | 11:30 AM | 2877 |
c(2.5% = 1799)
|
c(97.5% = 3608)
|
| 56 | 11:30 AM | 4181 |
c(2.5% = 2721)
|
c(97.5% = 4930)
|
| 57 | 11:30 AM | 3628 |
c(2.5% = 2489)
|
c(97.5% = 4126)
|
| 58 | 11:30 AM | 6087 |
c(2.5% = 4080)
|
c(97.5% = 6940)
|
| 59 | 11:30 AM | 3063 |
c(2.5% = 2336)
|
c(97.5% = 3455)
|
| 60 | 11:30 AM | 2437 |
c(2.5% = 1851)
|
c(97.5% = 2798)
|
| 61 | 11:30 AM | 3783 |
c(2.5% = 2741)
|
c(97.5% = 4273)
|
| 62 | 11:30 AM | 2712 |
c(2.5% = 1722)
|
c(97.5% = 3409)
|
| 63 | 11:30 AM | 3440 |
c(2.5% = 2413)
|
c(97.5% = 3949)
|
| 64 | 11:30 AM | 1955 |
c(2.5% = 1271)
|
c(97.5% = 2381)
|
| 65 | 11:30 AM | 2835 |
c(2.5% = 1921)
|
c(97.5% = 3269)
|
| 66 | 11:30 AM | 6048 |
c(2.5% = 4207)
|
c(97.5% = 6867)
|
| Time of Vote | Precinct | Voter Number |
| 7:10 AM | 5107 | 2 |
| 7:41 AM | 0537 | 24 |
| 7:42 AM | 0501 | 14 |
| 7:43 AM | 0828 | 33 |
| 7:03 AM | 2714 | 2 |
| 7:40 AM | 1508 | 38 |
| 7:48 AM | 1503 | 38 |
| 7:48 AM | 1503 | 38 |
| 7:25 AM | 0214 | 16 |
| 7:56 AM | 3636 | 33 |
| 7:13 AM | 0218 | 9 |
| 8:07 AM | 4603 | 27 |
| 8:16 AM | 0218 | 60 |
| 8:18 AM | 0222 | 68 |
| 8:10 AM | 1810 | 36 |
| 8:20 AM | 3635 | 57 |
| 8:30 AM | 3110 | 55 |
| 8:32 AM | 0532 | 69 |
| 8:30 AM | 2707 | 45 |
| 8:32 AM | 2702 | 48 |
| 8:15 AM | 3901 | 52 |
| 8:15 AM | 3640 | 64 |
| 8:38 AM | 3638 | 55 |
| 8:38 AM | 3637 | 31 |
| 8:42 AM | 0525 | 64 |
| 8:40 AM | 0501 | 36 |
| 7:30 AM | 0202 | 28 |
| 8:40 AM | 0537 | 56 |
| 8:12 AM | 4616 | 41 |
| 8:35 AM | 3909 | 65 |
| 8:43 AM | 0517 | 69 |
| 8:49 AM | 0834 | 73 |
| 8:49 AM | 0206 | 69 |
| 8:50 AM | 0828 | 77 |
| 8:07 AM | 0801 | 40 |
| 7:30 AM | 3640 | 31 |
| 7:30 AM | 3104 | 29 |
| 8:50 AM | 0213 | 25 |
| 8:40 AM | 2717 | 56 |
| 8:45 AM | 2101 | 47 |
| 8:25 AM | 3945 | 52 |
| 7:48 AM | 1503 | 38 |
| 7:48 AM | 1503 | 38 |
| 9:02 AM | 1503 | 92 |
| 7:15 AM | 0902 | 12 |
| 8:40 AM | 2717 | 56 |
| 7:01 AM | 0807 | 13 |
| 9:09 AM | 4701 | 73 |
| 8:50 AM | 0213 | 25 |
| 9:10 AM | 1514 | 81 |
| 7:55 AM | 1517 | 30 |
| 9:00 AM | 3914 | 40 |
| 8:00 AM | 5702 | 60 |
| 8:30 AM | 2105 | 91 |
| 8:30 AM | 2105 | 91 |
| 9:15 AM | 2714 | 51 |
| 8:15 AM | 2605 | 56 |
| 9:20 AM | 3637 | 100 |
| 9:20 AM | 3638 | 79 |
| 8:30 AM | 0521 | 92 |
| 9:20 AM | 0532 | 112 |
| 9:15 AM | 1802 | 73 |
| 9:24 AM | 2911 | 62 |
| 9:03 AM | 0229 | 95 |
| 9:23 AM | 0812 | 138 |
| 8:50 AM | 0828 | 77 |
| 9:00 AM | 3107 | 100 |
| 9:15 AM | 3639 | 86 |
| 9:15 AM | 0120 | 76 |
| 9:30 AM | 0308 | 109 |
| 9:30 AM | 0807 | 98 |
| 9:25 AM | 3610 | 84 |
| 9:34 AM | 0818 | 50 |
| 9:34 AM | 0818 | 50 |
| 9:35 AM | 0817 | 107 |
| 8:40 AM | 1514 | 68 |
| 8:00 AM | 0106 | 69 |
| 8:40 AM | 1514 | 68 |
| 9:38 AM | 6008 | 49 |
| 9:30 AM | 3636 | 108 |
| 7:15 AM | 0114 | 9 |
| 9:46 AM | 3111 | 104 |
| 9:47 AM | 0204 | 72 |
| 9:50 AM | 0505 | 92 |
| 9:55 AM | 0528 | 148 |
| 9:45 AM | 0224 | 110 |
| 9:45 AM | 0224 | 109 |
| 7:45 AM | 0517 | 35 |
| 9:58 AM | 3636 | 120 |
| 9:49 AM | 2212 | 74 |
| 8:00 AM | 0817 | 100 |
| 10:05 AM | 1503 | 129 |
| 10:02 AM | 0517 | 135 |
| 8:15 AM | 3516 | 56 |
| 7:20 AM | 2217 | 17 |
| 8:15 AM | 3516 | 56 |
| 7:40 AM | 2105 | 45 |
| 10:00 AM | 0110 | 97 |
| 9:40 AM | 0222 | 97 |
| 10:00 AM | 2622 | 82 |
| 10:03 AM | 3006 | 101 |
| 8:15 AM | 2619 | 77 |
| 10:02 AM | 0835 | 100 |
| 10:18 AM | 3104 | 156 |
| 10:20 AM | 4701 | 114 |
| 7:45 AM | 0516 | 41 |
| 10:18 AM | 0515 | 420 |
| 8:28 AM | 0516 | 70 |
| 9:50 AM | 0505 | 92 |
| 10:15 AM | 3641 | 78 |
| 9:50 AM | 0505 | 92 |
| 10:29 AM | 0509 | 188 |
| 10:30 AM | 1513 | 95 |
| 8:00 AM | 2113 | 13 |
| 10:39 AM | 0537 | 108 |
| 10:40 AM | 0501 | 75 |
| 10:15 AM | 3115 | 144 |
| 10:10 AM | 4603 | 60 |
| 9:45 AM | 1517 | 101 |
| 10:40 AM | 0206 | 115 |
| 10:42 AM | 0505 | 117 |
| 10:44 AM | 0834 | 93 |
| 9:30 AM | 0807 | 98 |
| 10:45 AM | 0807 | 115 |
| 10:45 AM | 1503 | 147 |
| 10:45 AM | 0309 | 129 |
| 10:40 AM | 3629 | 76 |
| 10:52 AM | 1717 | 90 |
| 10:52 AM | 1717 | 90 |
| 7:30 AM | 1802 | 38 |
| 10:50 AM | 2706 | 156 |
| 10:45 AM | 2713 | 96 |
| 10:02 AM | 4622 | 131 |
| 11:00 AM | 2707 | 86 |
| 11:11 AM | 3103 | 151 |
| 11:10 AM | 3113 | 101 |
| 8:30 AM | 0201 | 103 |
| 8:40 AM | 0824 | 57 |
| 11:07 AM | 6008 | 67 |
| 8:00 AM | 4601 | 37 |
| 11:00 AM | 2208 | 91 |
| 9:00 AM | 0822 | 1 |
| 11:00 AM | 2101 | 131 |
| 10:00 AM | 0101 | 79 |
| 10:00 AM | 0102 | 90 |
| 10:00 AM | 0103 | 136 |
| 10:00 AM | 0104 | 92 |
| 10:00 AM | 0105 | 45 |
| 10:00 AM | 0106 | 93 |
| 10:00 AM | 0107 | 40 |
| 10:00 AM | 0108 | 89 |
| 10:00 AM | 0109 | 83 |
| 10:00 AM | 0110 | 104 |
| 10:00 AM | 0111 | 86 |
| 10:00 AM | 0112 | 69 |
| 10:00 AM | 0113 | 122 |
| 10:00 AM | 0114 | 85 |
| 10:00 AM | 0115 | 139 |
| 10:00 AM | 0116 | 68 |
| 10:00 AM | 0117 | 79 |
| 10:00 AM | 0118 | 121 |
| 10:00 AM | 0119 | 75 |
| 10:00 AM | 0120 | 106 |
| 10:00 AM | 0121 | 130 |
| 11:17 AM | 3943 | 119 |
| 11:00 AM | 1811 | 150 |
| 11:18 AM | 4701 | 135 |
| 11:00 AM | 3103 | 5 |
| 11:15 AM | 0526 | 175 |
| 11:00 AM | 5904 | 142 |
| 8:30 AM | 0504 | 105 |
| 11:22 AM | 1503 | 156 |
| 9:02 AM | 0120 | 63 |
| 8:10 AM | 0819 | 60 |
| 11:29 AM | 0213 | 47 |
| 9:15 AM | 0904 | 69 |
| 11:30 AM | 3914 | 140 |
Download the csvs: - Raw Submissions - Division Predictions